Let’s get to Sunday’s interesting facts, using DraftKings prices.
Five Things to Watch:
1.Here are the three highest projected over/unders, provided by OddsShark…
2. Weather: We should be all clear for Saturday.
3. You down with BvP? Troy Tulowitzki is 11-for-29 lifetime against Yovani Gallardo. Mark Reynolds is 7-for-19 against Bartolo Colon. Edwin Encarnacion is 6-for-17 with 3 HR against Gallardo. James Loney has a 1.196 OPS against Jorge De La Rosa lifetime. Dexter Fowler has a 1.064 OPS against Wade Miley.
4. Your three biggest pitching favorites for the night: Scott Kazmir (-220) against the Diamondbacks, Josh Tomlin (-185) against the A’s and Jake Arrieta against Seattle (-240).
5. Sneaky stack options: The Mets aren’t typically a team we stack, but Jorge De La Rosa has a 5.70 ERA and 1.62 WHIP on the season. The Nationals get Jake Peavy, who has a 5.42 ERA this season. The White Sox against non-threatening starter Tommy Milone would be extra sneaky.
Must-Start of the day: Edwin Encarnacion, TOR
He has a .901 OPS over his last ten games and is 6-for-17 with 3 HR against Gallardo lifetime. He’s the best bat available on Saturday, and his $4900 price tag won’t set you back too badly.
Deal of the day: Eugenio Suarez, CIN
Has a .920 OPS over his last ten and has an .896 OPS against left-handed pitching this year. He gets a bad pitcher in Christian Friedrich and he’s very affordable at just $4300.
Avoid of the day: Jeremy Hellickson, PHI
Normally a matchup against the Braves would be extremely juicy, but traveling on the road against Julio Teheran takes away a lot of the appeal. Hellickson has had a nice year, but he doesn’t have quite enough strikeout juice to justify his price.
Stack of the day: Toronto Blue Jays
A few of Toronto’s big bats have enjoyed individual success against Yovani Gallardo in the past, and it shouldn’t take much convincing to take the Jays lineup at home against a pitcher with a 5.37 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and .296 BAA on the season. Stack ’em up.
Drew Pomeranz, BOS: I’m fading Jake Arrieta on Saturday given the struggles over his last few games and his price. The next best thing is Pomeranz, the best strikeout pitcher left on the board who should have plenty of run support.
Drew Smyly, TB: It’s risky, but Smyly has been much better (112 K in 111 IP, 1.35 WHIP) than his win-loss record and ERA might indicate. At $6300 at home, there’s a good chance he can sneak out a win.
Scott Kazmir, LAD: If you’re hunting for a win, Kazmir is a massive favorite at home against the Diamondbacks and can rack up the strikeouts (117 in 109 IP) at a decent clip, as well.
Wilson Ramos, WAS: Hitting .370 with 2 HR over his last seven games and a has a great matchup.
Yadier Molina, STL: .891 OPS over his last ten games.
Edwin Encarnacion, TOR: “Must-start of the day”
Miguel Cabrera, DET: Hitting .478 with 3 HR over his last seven games.
Devon Travis, TOR: Blue Jays stack and hitting .379 over his last ten games.
Trea Turner, WAS: Good matchup and has 5 stolen bases over his last seven games.
Martin Prado, MIA: Hitting .378 over his last ten games and owns a ridiculous 1.101 OPS against left-handed pitching this season. He’s a great value at $4300.
Eugenio Suarez, CIN: “Deal of the day”
Troy Tulowitzki, TOR: Tulowitzki is 11-for-29 lifetime against Yovani Gallardo.
Trevor Story, COL: Hitting .370 with 4 HR and 2 SB in his last seven games.
Jose Bautista, TOR: Blue Jays stack.
Marcell Ozuna, MIA: Mashes lefties this season and can be stacked with Stanton and Prado.
Khris Davis, OAK: Hitting .308 with 2 HR over his last seven and gets Josh Tomlin.