Let’s get to Sunday’s interesting facts, using DraftKings prices.
Five Things to Watch:
1.Here are the three highest projected over/unders, provided by OddsShark…
2. Weather: We should be all clear for Sunday, but check on Twitter to make sure none of the East Coast thunderstorms will have any impact.
3. You down with BvP? Edwin Encarnacion is 16-for-53 with 3 HR lifetime against Chris Tillman. Ian Desmond is 12-for-43 with 3 HR against Dillon Gee. Robinson Cano is 12-for-35 with 2 HR against Brian Matusz. Kevin Pillar is 7-for-20 with 3 HR against Tillman. Justin Turner is 7-for-17 against Patrick Corbin. Dee Gordon is 8-for-15 lifetime against Carlos Martinez.
4. Your three biggest pitching favorites for the night: Noah Syndergaard against the Rockies (-205), Bud Norris (-200) against the Diamondbacks and Corey Kluber (-185) against the A’s.
5. Sneaky stack options: The Reds get Paul Clemens, who has let up 7 HR in his first 18 innings this year. The Dodgers righties get Patrick Corbin, who owns a 5.31 ERA this year. Francisco Liriano has been a mess this year, and a few of Milwaukee’s bats hit lefties hard.
Must-Start of the day: Noah Syndergaard, NYM
He’s the top option on the board, as the Rockies are 26th in the league in team OPS when they are away from Coors Field. Syndergaard’s massive strikeout power (144 in 117 IP) give him the highest upside of any pitcher going on Sunday.
Deal of the day: Jared Eickhoff, PHI
He’s been solid all year long (3.83 ERA, 1.24 WHIP) but we’re playing him on Sunday for his matchup against the league’s least productive lineup (last in OPS) and because he’s going up against an unproven pitcher in Joel De La Cruz. A probable win and minimal damage at just $8400 seems like a good deal.
Avoid of the day: Ben Zobrist, CHC
He normally would be a solid choice, but Zobrist is 5-for-37 lifetime against Felix Hernandez with 11 strikeouts to boot.
Stack of the day: Houston Astros
The Astros get Mike Pelfrey on Sunday, owner of a ridiculous .332 batting average allowed, 1.75 WHIP and 4.98 ERA. While there are other pitchers to pick on (Matt Cain, Paul Clemens, Dillon Gee), the Astros have a high projected run total and a good mix of power and speed throughout the lineup.
Carlos Rodon, CWS: He’s back in the rotation and healthy, and he gets a juicy matchup against a Minnesota team that strikes out the 5th most in the majors per game. Rodon has struggled at times, but he has 91 strikeouts in 92 IP and offers a lot of upside at just $6800 against a shaky Twins lineup.
Noah Syndergaard, NYM: “Must-start of the day”
Jared Eickhoff, PHI: “Deal of the day”
Evan Gattis, HOU: 4 HR over his last six games and part of our Astros stack.
Buster Posey, SF: Always better against southpaws (.914 OPS against LHP this year).
Joey Votto, CIN: Red-hot with a 1.390 OPS over his last ten games, and has a great matchup against Paul Clemens.
James Loney, NYM: Batting 3rd for the Mets against Chad Bettis and is hitting .303 over his last ten games.
Jose Altuve, HOU: 1.238 OPS over his last ten games, and is a key part of our Astros stack.
Daniel Murphy, WAS: Matt Cain has allowed a crazy .406 wOBA to left-handed bats this year.
Justin Turner, LAD: Lefty killer is 7-for-17 against Patrick Corbin lifetime.
Hernan Perez, MIL: .909 OPS with 5 SB over his last ten games, and gets the lefty-righty matchup with Liriano.
Carlos Correa, HOU: .980 OPS over his last ten games, and gets Pelfrey.
Zack Cozart, CIN: Hitting .300 over his last ten games and will bat at the top of the lineup against Clemens.
Ian Desmond, TEX: Desmond is 12-for-43 with 3 HR against Dillon Gee.
George Springer, HOU: .877 OPS over his last ten.
Bryce Harper, WAS: Another left-handed bat to throw at Matt Cain, who allows a .406 wOBA to lefties.