MLB Metrics 101: The Least Clutch Players of Baseball – Bleacher Report

    Michael Dwyer/Associated Press

    Clutch: -2.28

    The Yankees are mainly worried about snapping Aaron Judge out of his second-half slump. But even if he can do that, he’ll still have to find his way out of clutch purgatory. 

    The rookie’s leverage splits break down like so:

  • Low Leverage: 1.045 OPS
  • Medium Leverage: .963 OPS
  • High Leverage: .924 OPS

Like Goldschmidt, part of the reason Judge’s clutch is in the red is that he sets such a high bar to clear with his hitting in lower-pressure situations. His OPS in low leverage, for instance, ranks third in the league.


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But also like Goldschmidt, Judge’s relatively strong performance in high leverage doesn’t tell the whole story.

He gets a reality check under FanGraphs‘ higher standards for high leverage, as he goes from a .924 OPS and seven homers to a .912 OPS and four homers. And even for Baseball Reference, he’s hurt the Yankees’ win probability in 65 of 107 high-leverage plate appearances.

Thus, he only ranks fifth on the Yankees in WPA despite ranking first in WAR. Whereas Goldschmidt’s clutch struggles are a mere inconvenience for the Diamondbacks, Judge’s are a burden for the Yankees.

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