For those who are unfamiliar with my thought process, I aim to add as many home run hitters as possible to my daily fantasy baseball lineups. One way of doing that is to look at a player’s isolated power numbers (ISO). The ISO statistic removes singles and provides a larger weight for each extra-base hit.
I also use the weighted on-base average (wOBA) metric. This stat takes every positive outcome into consideration.
Last year, the league average was a .150 ISO and a .313 wOBA. So, when you see me list a player’s ISO or wOBA, you know why I do it.
5 Things to Watch:
1. Highest over/unders for Friday, provided by OddsShark…
2. I’m not including the SF/CHC game because it is the only early matchup on the docket.
3. There are three strong favorites for pitching options: Carlos Carrasco, Julio Urias, and Jameson Taillon.
4. There is some rain in the forecast for ARI/COL, but I would still suggest adding as many hitters as you can from Coors Field.
5. For the BvP readers: Charlie Blackmon is 9-for-14 (.643) with two extra-base hits aginst Robbie Ray … Danny Valencia is 12-for-20 (.600) with three extra-base hits against David Price … Also, Evan Longoria is 8-for- 16 (.500) with two home runs against Marcus Stroman.
Yesterday’s recap:
Even in a short slate, John Halpin picked another winner. Freddie Freeman was the must-start and hammered a home run. Incorporating a Mets’ stack of the first four batters would’ve netted you six hits, including one Jay Bruce homer.
Must-Start of the day: Carlos Correa, HOU
He has a .210 ISO against righties this season. Also, in the past week. Correa is 8-for-21 (.381) with three extra-base hits.
Deal of the day: Alex Reyes, STL
As your second SP on DK, Reyes is $6,400. He’s even more of a bargain if you roll the dice with Reyes as your lone starting pitcher on FD ($5,200). He has struck out 17 batters in 14 innings of work this season. During that span, he’s also managed a low ERA (0.64).
Avoid of the day: Jarrod Dyson, KC
He is 3-for-26 (.115) with seven strikeouts against Anibal Sanchez.
Stack of the day: Arizona Diamondbacks
The Diamondbacks’ batting atmosphere is even better tonight as they travel to Colorado. In 2016, Jorge De La Rosa has a 5.06 ERA in two starts against Arizona. Rickie Weeks Jr. is a must in this stack. He has a solid BvP against De La Rosa (.455 AVG) and a great season-long ISO against lefties in 2016. Welington Castillo and Paul Goldschmidt are two other bats to add tonight.
Starting pitchers:
Jameson Taillon, PIT – In his last start, the Brewers roughed him up (3 IP, 5 ER). However, in the two prior meetings with Milwaukee, Taillon combined for 12 innings and nine Ks with only three earned runs.
David Price, BOS – He has struck out at least seven batters in three of the past four starts. Also, Price has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three consecutive performances.
Julio Urias, LAD – He’s struck out at least six batters in back-to-back starts and has allowed only one earned run in the past 14.2 innings of work.
Alex Reyes, STL – “Deal of the day.”
Catchers:
Welington Castillo, ARI – He has a .298 ISO and a .409 wOBA against lefties this year.
Evan Gattis, HOU – He has a .213 ISO against righties this season.
First basemen:
Paul Goldschmidt, ARI – He has a .248 ISO against lefties this year.
Chris Davis, BAL – He has a .270 ISO against righties in 2016.
Second basemen:
Brian Dozier, MIN – He has a .360 ISO and a .422 wOBA against southpaws this season.
Rougned Odor, TEX – He has a .240 ISO against righties this year.
Third basemen:
Evan Longoria, TB – (See “5 Things”)
Danny Valencia, OAK – (See “5 Things”)
Trevor Plouffe, MIN – He has a .239 ISO against lefties this year and has hit three home runs in the past week.
Shortstops:
Carlos Correa, HOU – “Must-start of the day.”
Andrelton Simmons, LAA – This punt play has a .319 wOBA against lefties this season.
Outfielders:
Charlie Blackmon, COL – (See “5 Things”)
Carlos Beltran, TEX – He has a .208 ISO against righties this year.
Rickie Weeks Jr., ARI – He has a .375 ISO against lefties this season.
Ryan Raburn, COL – He has a .244 ISO against southpaws in 2016.
