Welcome to Sunday’s daily fantasy post! Remember that you can find our posts on the brand-spanking new DFS home page, as well as the fantasy page. Bookmark those sites now!
Let’s get to Sunday’s interesting facts, using DraftKings prices.
Five Things to Watch:
1. Here are the three highest projected over/unders, provided by OddsShark…
ATL-COL 12
ARI-CIN 10
MIN-BOS 10
2. Weather: We should be all clear for Sunday.
3. You down with BvP? Victor Martinez is 14-for-33 against Jose Quintana. Mekly Cabrera is 15-for-31 against Anibal Sanchez. Nelson Cruz is 8-for-15 against J.A. Happ. Nori Aoki is 7-for-14 against Happ.
4. Your three biggest pitching favorites for the night: Tyler Chatwood (-220) against Atlanta, Rick Porcello (-180) against Minnesota and Mike Fiers (-180) against the Angels.
5. Sneaky stack options: Again, the Red Sox and Rockies aren’t sneaky, but they’re top choices. Don’t be afraid to stack up the Mets against Jose Urena, or the Rays against Jesse Hahn. If you can find two hitters you like on the same team, chances are you’ll bump into a good stack one way or the other.
Must-Start of the day: Yoenis Cespedes, NYM
He’s priced way too low at $4100 against Urena, and we know he’s a streaky hitter who can go on big runs. Cespedes owns a 1.002 OPS over his last ten games, so it’s probably time to jump on board now.
Deal of the day: Melky Cabrera, CWS
Cabrera is batting at the top of the lineup against Anibal Sanchez, who has been a disaster this year. Historically, Cabrera owns Sanchez as well, going 15-for-31 against him lifetime. At just $3600, he’s a great value, especially if you stack the White Sox.
Avoid of the day: J.A. Happ, TOR
He’s been good this year, but he’s struggled in the past against the Mariners (1.139 OPS in 79 at-bats) and is awfully expensive ($10,400) considering his lack of consistent strikeout power. Look elsewhere.
Stack of the day: Chicago White Sox
In 88 innings this year, Sanchez has racked up a 6.60 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP. He’s one of the worst pitchers in baseball right now, and the White Sox are all priced under $4000. Abreu, Frazier, Cabrera and company should do some real damage in this one, as that over/under of 9 isn’t because Quintana is on the mound.
Starting pitchers:
Steven Matz, NYY: Given his strikeout per inning ratio, Matz is priced very conservatively at $8300 against Jose Urena and the Marlins. The floor here is somewhat high, as he has at least five strikeouts in each of his last four starts.
Rick Porcello, BOS: He’s one of the biggest favorites on the board against a lackluster Twins lineup, and you’d assume the run support will be there against Tommy Milone. He has a great chance at a win, and he’s recorded at least 20 points on Draft Kings in three of his last four starts.
Jon Lester, CHC: The Brewers strikeout more than any team in baseball, which always helps in DFS. Lester was sharp in his last start, has a good defense behind him and should be able to limit the damage against a team that’s 24th in team OPS.
Catchers:
Wilson Ramos, WAS: Batting cleanup against Friedrich and relatively cheap at $4100.
Evan Gattis, HOU: Tim Lincecum has struggled with powerful right-handed bats and Gattis is coming off a 2 HR game.
First basemen:
Jose Abreu, CWS: Hitting .306 over his last ten games and is part of our White Sox stack.
Paul Goldschmidt, ARI: He’s an easy play whenever he gets a weak southpaw, and he’s a dual power/speed threat.
Second basemen:
Jose Altuve, HOU: Hitting .552 over his last seven games and gets Lincecum.
Ryan Schrimpf, SD: Has 3 HR in his last five games and is available for just $3500.
Third basemen:
Todd Frazier, CWS: Has 28 HR on the season and is part of our stack against Sanchez.
Josh Donaldson, TOR: Like Goldschmidt, he’s easy to play when he’s going against a southpaw (1.080 OPS this year).
Shortstops:
Troy Tulowitzki, TOR: He hasn’t been great this year, but historically he crushes lefties and is just $3400.
Tim Anderson, CWS: White Sox stack.
Outfielders:
Yoenis Cespedes, NYM: “Must-start of the day”
Melky Cabrera, CWS: “Deal of the day”
Nelson Cruz, SEA: Always great against lefties and has a good BvP history against Happ.
