Ranking the top 100 players in Major League Baseball right now – CBSSports.com
Since we’re roughly a month into the 2016 season, let’s revisit our preseason rundown of top 100 players. This time, though, the criteria are different.
When we did this coming into the season, the rankings were based upon reasonable expectations — using things like age and recent performance history — to make educated guesses at which players would provide the most value in 2016. Now, though, it’s all about the season to date. As such, the rankings you’re about to see reflect nothing more than who’s been the best in 2016 so far. In coming up with these rankings, the author paid no heed to what may and may not be sustainable. Some of the names will be very much at home among the game’s best, while others belong to players who have wildly over-performed. Although we’ll provide a quick, thumbnail rundown of what the future may hold for these players, we’re not worried about whether the performances are sustainable or not. It’s all about what’s happened thus far in 2016 and 2016 alone.
As for what matters, with position players it’s a mix of batting, defense, and baserunning. On offense, we’re not concerned with things like RBI. Getting on base and hitting power matter above all, as do playing time, context of the player’s home ballpark, production relative to positional peers (e.g., the offensive bar is lower for shortstops and catchers than it is for first basemen and DHs). For pitchers — and since this a backward-looking assessment of value provided — run prevention and workload will be the drivers, but we’ll also give some consideration to underlying fundamental indicators. Again, this is all about the season to date, and the rankings suggest nothing about whether the player in question can maintain the current level of performance. As such, the next you see this list, it’ll probably look very different.
Also, we’re going slap an “Outlook” label on each player that gives, in general terms, our best guess as to what the rest of 2016 will hold for the ranked baseball-ist in question. Here are the Outlook categories …
Outlook: Should be even better – This player has already been quite good in 2016 (as made evident by his presence on this list), but his baseline is such that he can expect to climb these rankings the season deepens and the sample size grows. This category will obviously be reserved for true superstars who figure to perform at an MVP/Cy Young level.
Outlook: Sounds about right – He’s ranked about where you’d expect. Note: This doesn’t mean the player in question is going to slug .850 or maintain an ERA of 0.71 for the entire year. Rather, it’s that his current tier in the rankings where he figures to remain going forward.
Outlook: Good but not this good – This is a useful player who helps his team win, but right now he’s overshooting reasonable expectations. Expect him to settle back into being good, but maybe not great.
Outlook: Over his head – Coming into the season, you’d probably never guess this guy would wind up on a top 100 list. Sure, maybe there’s genuine skills growth or needle-moving adjustments underpinning his 2016 season to date, but the smart money says he’s going to regress — pretty heavily and very soon.
Click on each player’s name for his year-to-date stats.
And with that out of the way, let’s take a look at the 100 players who have been the best thus far in 2016 …
100. Melky Cabrera, White Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
99. Brian McCann, Yankees |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
98. John Axford, Athletics |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
97. Josh Harrison, Pirates |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
96. Seth Smith, Mariners |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
95. Jake Lamb, Diamondbacks |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
94. Carlos Martinez, Cardinals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
93. Martin Prado, Marlins |
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Good but not this good. | |
92. Nelson Cruz, Mariners |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
91. Buster Posey, Giants |
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Outlook: Should be even better. | |
90. Danny Salazar, Indians |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
89. Garrett Richards, Angels |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
88. Salvador Perez, Royals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
87. Joe Panik, Giants |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
86. Stephen Piscotty, Cardinals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
85. Carlos Correa, Astros |
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Outlook: Should be even better. | |
84. Drew Smyly, Rays |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
83. Rick Porcello, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
82. Jackie Bradley, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
81. Brett Lawrie, White Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
80. Carlos Ruiz, Phillies |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
79. Matt Kemp, Padres |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
78. Adam Eaton, White Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
77. Kevin Kiermaier, Rays |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
76. Eric Hosmer, Royals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
75. Mark Trumbo, Orioles |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
74. Elvis Andrus, Rangers |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
73. Starlin Castro, Yankees |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
72. Erasmo Ramirez, Rays |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
71. Todd Frazier, White Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
70. Zack Cozart, Reds |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
69. Kris Bryant, Cubs |
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Outlook: Should be even better. | |
68. Francisco Lindor, Indians |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
67. Tanner Roark, Nationals |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
66. Anthony Rizzo, Cubs |
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Outlook: Should be even better. | |
65. Andrew Miller, Yankees
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
64. Jarrod Saltalamacchia, Tigers |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
63. Joc Pederson, Dodgers |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
62. Paul Goldschmidt, Diamondbacks |
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Outlook: Should be even better. | |
61. Hunter Pence, Giants |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
60. Michael Saunders, Blue Jays |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
59. Taijuan Walker, Mariners |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
58. Nick Castellanos, Tigers |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
57. Trevor Story, Rockies |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
56. Yasmani Grandal, Dodgers |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
55. Masahiro Tanaka, Yankees |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
54. Giancarlo Stanton, Marlins |
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Outlook: Should be even better. | |
53. Joe Ross, Nationals |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
52. Jose Bautista, Blue Jays |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
51. Ian Kinsler, Tigers |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
50. Travis Shaw, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
49. Adrian Beltre, Rangers |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
48. Joe Mauer, Twins |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
47. Neil Walker, Mets |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
46. Noah Syndergaard, Mets |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
45. Robinson Cano, Mariners |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
44. Gio Gonzalez, Nationals |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
43. Colby Rasmus, Astros |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
42. Odubel Herrera, Phillies |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
41. Xander Bogaerts, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
40. Tyler Chatwood, Rockies |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
39. Johnny Cueto, Giants |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
38. Dustin Pedroia, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
37. Stephen Strasburg, Nationals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
36. Jon Lester, Cubs |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
35. Chris Carter, Brewers |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
34. Vince Velasquez , Phillies |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
33. Jean Segura, Diamondbacks |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
32. Steven Wright, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
31. Ryan Braun, Brewers |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
30. Mike Moustakas, Royals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
29. Starling Marte, Pirates |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
28. Welington Castillo, Diamondbacks |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
27. Victor Martinez, Tigers |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
26. Francisco Cervelli, Pirates |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
25. Mat Latos, White Sox |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
24. David Ortiz, Red Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
23. Daniel Murphy, Nationals |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
22. Yadier Molina, Cardinals |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
21. Yoenis Cespedes, Mets |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
20. Jason Hammel, Cubs |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
19. Jose Quintana, White Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
18. Christian Yelich, Marlins |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
17. Felix Hernandez, Mariners |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
16. Mike Trout, Angels |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
15. Clayton Kershaw, Dodgers |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
14. Gregory Polanco, Pirates |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
13. Kenta Maeda, Dodgers |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
12. Chris Sale, White Sox |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
11. Michael Conforto, Mets |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
10. Logan Forsythe, Rays |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
9. Nolan Arenado, Rockies |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
8. Josh Donaldson, Blue Jays |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
7. Bryce Harper, Nationals |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
6. Dexter Fowler, Cubs |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. | |
5. Jake Arrieta, Cubs |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
4. Aledmys Diaz, Cardinals |
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Outlook: Over his head. | |
3. Manny Machado, Orioles |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
2. Jose Altuve, Astros |
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Outlook: Sounds about right. | |
1. Jordan Zimmermann, Tigers |
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Outlook: Good but not this good. |
Objections? Of course not. Instead, the comments section below is available for all of your lovingly composed compliments.