Hockey analytics show Patrick Sharp’s scoring dropped as role changed – Chicago Tribune
Patrick Sharp is known as a finisher. But this season, his struggles to score have led to speculation as to the cause, ranging from the mundane to the ridiculous.
Many have suggested Sharp, 33, is aging and just doesn’t have “it” anymore. This explanation fails to hit the target because aging in the NHL usually leads to a gradual decline in production and performance over time, not the sudden, precipitous dive Sharp experienced this season.
So what it is? What is going on with Sharp?
After poring over Sharp’s numbers, the data would seem to indicate he has been affected adversely playing with a different line construction and some really bad luck. His shot-generation rate is as high as ever, but his shooting percentage is the lowest of his career.
Darryl Belfry, an NHL skills coach who counts Patrick Kane among his clients, explained that when Sharp was returning from injury, his timing was off, as is often the case with professional athletes. Being shuffled around different lines further hindered that timing.
In Wednesday night’s 2-1 Game 4 victory over the Lightning that evened the Stanley Cup Final, Sharp was moved to a line with Jonathan Toews and Marian Hossa and got a couple of excellent scoring chances and an assist — but still no goals.
Sportsnet writer and shot-quality researcher Chris Boyle reviewed Sharp’s play over the season and found that he was being forced to take shots from outside of the slot far more often than in the past.
Essentially, based on these statistical windows into Sharp’s performance, the conclusion is that while he has been generating shots, his efforts to regain his timing and his ability to play the game that best fit his skill set were impeded at every turn this season.
Many hockey fans, when asked to think about Sharp’s goals before this season, will remember his finding a soft spot in the defensive coverage and one-timing a pass into the net. While Sharp has scored plenty of goals off of breakaways, his real strengths emerge when the team is cycling the puck. He always has been skilled at reading the coverage and sneaking in behind a distracted defenseman on the backside of the play to put a one-timer past the goalie. This is no easy feat and a necessary skill to make a puck possession team like the Blackhawks successful.
This season has been a different story. Sharp’s responsibilities on his many line combinations were changed from finisher duties to workhorse duties. Sharp has been tasked with finding a way to get the puck out of the defensive zone and into the offensive zone while his new linemates have learned the ropes of the Hawks’ system. Those linemates, mostly Antoine Vermette and Teuvo Teravainen, both joined the team as full-time additions late in the season. Both obviously are skilled, particularly the unbelievably crafty Teravainen, but it takes time to find a rhythm together.
When people think of Sharp this season, they most often will picture him trying to carry the puck into the zone or chipping it behind the defense and then getting a shot from outside of the faceoff dot. Working off of the carry never has been the most effective part of Sharp’s game, so it is easy to see why his timing has not found its way back yet.
With more time to find their cycle game, this line could allow Sharp to get back to a finisher role; however, there likely isn’t enough time left for that to happen this season.
Jennifer Lute Costella’s work on hockey analytics is featured at jenlc13.wordpress.com.
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