NASCAR at Bristol picks, odds: Martin Truex Jr. racing for fifth win, regular-season title – CBSSports.com

Who will own the night at Bristol Motor Speedway? Here are our picks for Saturday’s race under the lights in Tennessee.

Winner: Martin Truex Jr.

Seems like the cliche choice to pick the guy who has dominated this season, but we like to get these things right. Truex nearly won last week’s race at Michigan, only to be passed by Kyle Larson on an overtime restart, and has shown he can win just about anywhere from road courses to fast tracks. Now it’s time for Truex to show he can win in prime time at Bristol. With a win, the No. 78 would automatically clinch the regular season title and go into the playoffs with a ridiculous lead. 

Contenders: Denny Hamlin, Kyle Busch

These two Joe Gibbs Racing drivers have combined for six wins in the Cup Series at Bristol and both have strong momentum going into the race. Hamlin ran the fastest in first practice followed by Busch, who won the NASCAR Camping World Truck Series race on Wednesday night as well as the Xfinity Series race on Friday. The No. 11 is set to start the race in the top 10 while Busch will already have two practice races under his belt before the green flag flies. 

Wild Card: Erik Jones

It was tough to choose with former winners Kasey Kahne and Matt Kenseth qualifying in the top five but our pick is Jones. The No. 77 nearly edged out Furniture Row Racing teammate Truex last week and has all the momentum in the world as he pursues his first career playoff clinching victory. If Jones were to win, he would knock one of Kenseth, Chase Elliott or Jamie McMurray out of the playoffs depending on how they perform in the race. Jones is currently 16th in the regular season standings, so a win wouldn’t be as unexpected as Kahne’s Brickyard 400 triumph.

Odds to win the Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race qualifying results

Here are the betting odds for Saturday’s race, via VegasInsider.com

• Kyle Busch 9/2
• Martin Truex Jr. 5/1
• Kyle Larson 6/1
• Matt Kenseth 9/1
• Brad Keselowski 19/2
• Kevin Harvick 12/1
• Joey Logano 12/1
• Denny Hamlin 12/1
• Chase Elliott 16/1
• Jimmie Johnson 16/1
• Clint Bowyer 22/1
• Erik Jones 22/1
• Ryan Blaney 22/1
• Jamie McMurray 33/1
• Kurt Busch 33/1
• Dale Earnhardt Jr. 40/1
• Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 50/1
• Daniel Suares 66/1
• Kasey Kahne 80/1
• Ryan Newman 80/1
• Austin Dillon 80/1

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race qualifying results

1. Erik Jones
2. Kyle Larson
3. Kasey Kahne
4. Chase Elliott
5. Matt Kenseth
6. Martin Truex Jr.
7. Denny Hamlin
8. Joey Logano
9. Clint Bowyer
10. Ryan Blaney
11. Jamie McMurray
12. Daniel Suarez
13. Ryan Newman
14. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
15. Chris Buescher
16. Austin Dillon
17. Brad Keselowski
18. Kyle Busch
19. David Ragan
20. Trevor Bayne
21. Jimmie Johnson
22. Ty Dillon
23. AJ Allmendinger
24. Danica Patrick
25. Kurt Busch
26. Michael McDowell
27. Paul Menard
28. Aric Almirola
29. Kevin Harvick
30. JJ Yeley
31. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
32. Cole Whitt
33. Landon Cassill
34. Matt DiBenedetto
35. Corey LaJoie
36. BJ McLeod
37. Gray Gaulding
38. Jeffrey Earnhardt
39. Reed Sorenson
40. Joey Gase
41. Timmy Hill

BOLD – Denotes previous winners at Bristol Motor Speedway

2017 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series playoff points

2017 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series regular-season standings

Winless drivers who have won at upcoming tracks

Bristol: Kenseth, Earnhardt Jr., Logano (encumbered)
Darlington: Kenseth
Richmond: Kenseth, Bowyer, Earnhardt Jr., Logano (encumbered)

How to watch the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Bass Pro Shops NRA Night Race

Location: Bristol Motor Speedway
Date: Saturday, Aug. 19
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Length: 500 laps/266.5 miles
Stage 1: Ends on lap 125
Stage 2: Ends on lap 250
Final stage: Scheduled for lap 500
TV: NBC
Live stream: NBC Sports App